Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-09-29 44.247060 50.899098 57.828722 65.554692 73.896962 82.603972 92.349370
2024-10-06 34.829566 44.233087 54.599707 66.743867 80.453138 95.332479 112.586347
2024-10-13 29.466082 40.356759 52.876116 68.059228 85.716009 105.366300 128.656732
2024-10-20 24.431658 36.042927 49.936651 67.330308 88.095981 111.708202 140.210971
2024-10-27 19.926195 31.742235 46.462530 65.463865 88.710917 115.664915 148.733566
2024-11-03 18.250211 30.810474 46.930391 68.196841 94.659710 125.749973 164.307024
2024-11-10 16.442919 29.465217 46.685585 69.892008 99.239311 134.147595 177.873663
2024-11-17 13.921570 26.826385 44.509352 68.929543 100.377866 138.299743 186.319435
2024-11-24 11.758692 24.439326 42.453410 67.934199 101.322613 142.102949 194.263570
2024-12-01 10.251582 22.857940 41.360667 68.087302 103.631819 147.516027 204.117234
2024-12-08 8.954852 21.445976 40.382647 68.293239 105.934803 152.875259 213.884149
2024-12-15 7.925393 20.344730 39.758451 68.907488 108.717898 158.806761 224.348701
2024-12-22 6.646518 18.654408 38.157650 68.105586 109.623267 162.406934 232.017384
2024-12-29 5.957998 17.945649 37.997839 69.308184 113.191992 169.404911 243.953819
2025-01-05 5.375559 17.354851 37.966449 70.657009 116.938292 176.629137 256.191465
2025-01-12 4.473379 15.971867 36.557351 69.910451 117.770930 180.060917 263.641324
2025-01-19 3.508638 14.251297 34.445042 67.999324 116.905577 181.218324 268.162879
2025-01-26 3.364507 14.372089 35.449221 70.797626 122.610374 190.997893 283.698028
2025-02-02 3.081325 14.111681 35.766170 72.532823 126.825598 198.833824 296.781018
2025-02-09 2.482318 12.927568 34.365282 71.547675 127.152443 201.504728 303.229966
2025-02-16 1.967385 11.813754 32.992179 70.528749 127.374123 203.997901 309.427457
2025-02-23 1.641571 11.144200 32.385362 70.685488 129.259067 208.702662 318.488145
2025-03-02 1.363019 10.531101 31.834303 70.896310 131.201487 213.477683 327.646647